City Index Analyses "Better Than Expected" US Non-farm Payrolls

By City Index, PRNE
Sunday, August 7, 2011

LONDON, August 8, 2011 -

City Index (www.cityindex.co.uk/), a global leader in financial spread betting and CFD trading, provides traders with a daily market commentary from its trading experts. Today (August 5th), stock markets in Europe saw a slight recovery after US jobs data came in better than expected. Joshua Raymond, Chief Market Strategist of City Index, casts his eye over the development providing some relief to the huge share price falls witnessed this week:

Mr. Raymond explains: “US non-farm payrolls posted an increase of 117,000 in July, higher than the 85,000 expected whilst private payrolls grew by 154,000 and the US unemployment rate fell to 9.1%.”

“The immediate reaction saw a big jump in equity prices, which helped the FTSE 100 to recover immediately around 90 points from the day’s 2% losses. The FTSE 350 mining sector attracted much of the fresh buying on the back of the jobs figures, helping the sector to recover and make gains on the day having traded lower by 2% earlier. The banks also saw some waves of buying although this was certainly more limited in comparison to the miners.”

“It is important to note however that many of the buy trades we saw from investors were placed on very short term contracts, emphasising that the concerns over global growth will not disappear with today’s jobs figures.”

But are these jobs figures strong enough to change investors’ minds? Mr. Raymond continues: “Perhaps not. It’s not a hugely cheerful reading of July’s labour market situation in the US but certainly given the volatility and concerns that have driven stock markets around the world lower by around 10% this week, it’s a bit of a relief. That said, the US unemployment rate remains stubbornly above 9% and we need to see a consistent improvement in the US labour market to ease concerns that US growth will not slip back into a recession, particularly with huge spending cuts to come.

“The gains we have seen on the back of the jobs report remain liable to fresh waves of selling, particularly if investors are unwilling to carry risk over the weekend.

For today’s full market commentary from Joshua Raymond, and the rest of the latest trading insights from City Index, visit www.cityindex.co.uk/market-analysis/

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As a group, we transact in excess of 1.5 million trades every month for individuals in over 50 countries worldwide. We provide access to a wide range of instruments including margined foreign exchange, contracts for differences (CFDs) and, in the UK, financial spread betting.

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Contact: Joshua Raymond, City Index Group, Tel: +44(0)20-7107-7002, Email: joshua.raymond[at]cityindex.co.uk

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